After a flat opening, headline index Nifty spent the early morning in a capped vary earlier than slipping into the unfavourable territory. It by no means confirmed any indicators of restoration throughout the day. Following a corrective transfer, the index lastly ended with a deep lower of 218.45 factors or 1.50 per cent.
From a technical perspective, the earlier session has confirmed the extent of 14,650 as an intermediate high for the market. Going forward from right here, the zone of 14,650-14,750 will now act as a really stiff resistance; no sustainable up transfer shall happen except the market strikes previous this stage convincingly. Volatility elevated because the India VIX inched greater by 1.09 per cent to 22.4225. We now have elevated possibilities of the market taking a breather from the unabated up transfer and staying in a broad vary.
Monday’s session could have a light technical pullback within the preliminary commerce. Nonetheless, the degrees of 14,425 and 14,500 will act as resistance factors, whereas assist will are available in at 14,300 and 14,230 ranges.
The Relative Energy Index (RSI) on the each day chart is 58.69; it stays impartial and does now present any divergence towards value, though it has made a brand new 14-period low which is bearish. Additionally, a classical bearish failure swing is noticed. The RSI slipped beneath 70 from an overbought zone, pulled again, made a decrease low and slipped once more. The each day MACD is bearish and trades beneath its Sign Line.
There are prospects that Nifty could keep in a broad consolidation vary that it has fashioned for itself. Even when we see some technical pullback at first of the session, there are probabilities that it will get bought into. Additional, with Tuesday being a buying and selling vacation on account of Republic Day, we’d additionally see some warning weighing in in direction of the tip of the session.
Volatility, too, is prone to inch greater over the approaching days. With month-to-month derivatives expiry additionally lined up within the coming week, we’ll see some good quantity of sector rotation additionally taking place out there. Broadly talking, the market motion is prone to stay extremely inventory particular. We advocate staying extremely selective, whereas making contemporary purchases and preserve a defensive and cautious outlook for the day.
(Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA, is a Consulting Technical Analyst and founding father of Gemstone Fairness Analysis & Advisory Companies, Vadodara. He could be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org)