Claims about antibodies and T-cells and Sweden – Marginal REVOLUTION

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Buggert’s research in Sweden appears to assist this place. Investigating shut relations of sufferers with confirmed covid-19, he discovered T cell responses in those that had been seronegative or asymptomatic. Whereas round 60% of relations produced antibodies, 90% had T cell responses. (Different research have reported comparable outcomes.) “So many individuals acquired contaminated and didn’t create antibodies,” concludes Buggert.

That’s from Peter Doshi, principally a survey on pre-existing immunity, attention-grabbing and helpful and correctly agnostic all through.  Right here is a version of the Buggert piece, additionally with a hyperlink to the revealed model.

Notice two issues.  First, “the kooks” noticed this risk first, and insisted on its relevance, to their credit score.  Second, a lot of “the kooks” are overly dogmatic, not all the time to be trusted, they usually generally shift the goalposts (when predictions about instances are falsified, they swap to pretending these had been predictions about deaths).  Usually the non-kooks try this too after all.

For a sobering fear, listed here are some recent numbers from Spain.

The important thing to decoding the literature is to give attention to the information, and to maintain an open state of mind, reasonably than digging in to a selected place.  Proper now I’m centered on observing what sort of second wave London goes to have, and the way delicate or dangerous will probably be, as that’s almost definitely to induce me to replace my positions, in a single path or one other.

For the pointer I thank E. Ward.

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